PropPredictor

NBA Player Props for Thursday, October 22, 2026

Updated 11:21 AM ET · Graded Oct 23, 2026 morning

PropPredictor's model flagged 10 NBA player props for Thursday, October 22 across 2 games. The strongest is Aaron Gordon Under 23.5 Pts + Reb + Ast at DraftKings (-126): we project 16.3. Unders make up 5 of the 10. The picks went 5-5. VJ Edgecombe Over 13.5 Pts + Ast cashed with 17.

Day record

5-5 · 50.0% · -1.8 units

Hypothetical, flat 1 unit at the posted price. Hit rate excludes pushes and voids.

10 morning model picks · Oct 22, 2026
#PlayerGamePick & reasonProjectionBook & oddsFinalResultClosing line
1Aaron GordonDEN @ OKC
9:30 PM ET
Under 23.5 Pts + Reb + Ast
Projection 16.3 vs line 23.5 (7.2 under)
16.3
DraftKings
-126
27.0❌ Loss23.5
2VJ EdgecombeCLE @ PHI
7:00 PM ET
Over 13.5 Pts + Ast
Projection 19.0 vs line 13.5 (5.5 over)
19.0
FanDuel
-104
17.0✅ Win13.5
3James HardenCLE @ PHI
7:00 PM ET
Under 7.5 Assists
Projection 6.4 vs line 7.5 (1.1 under)
6.4
BetMGM
-140
5.0✅ Win7.5
4Joel EmbiidCLE @ PHI
7:00 PM ET
Over 25.5 Pts + Ast
Projection 29.9 vs line 25.5 (4.4 over)
29.9
FanDuel
-125
25.0❌ Loss26.5
5Cameron JohnsonDEN @ OKC
9:30 PM ET
Over 1.5 Assists
Projection 2.5 vs line 1.5 (1.0 over)
2.5
BetMGM
-165
1.0❌ Loss1.5
6Christian BraunDEN @ OKC
9:30 PM ET
Over 1.5 Assists
Projection 2.4 vs line 1.5 (0.9 over)
2.4
BetMGM
-140
1.0❌ Loss1.5
7Jared McCainDEN @ OKC
9:30 PM ET
Under 2.5 3-Pointers Made
Projection 1.8 vs line 2.5 (0.7 under)
1.8
DraftKings
-189
0.0✅ Win2.5
8Jamal MurrayDEN @ OKC
9:30 PM ET
Over 5.5 Assists
Projection 6.4 vs line 5.5 (0.9 over)
6.4
BetMGM
-140
3.0❌ Loss6.5
9Chet HolmgrenDEN @ OKC
9:30 PM ET
Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made
Projection 0.9 vs line 1.5 (0.6 under)
0.9
BetMGM
-225
0.0✅ Win1.5
10Nikola JokicDEN @ OKC
9:30 PM ET
Under 10.5 Assists
Projection 9.8 vs line 10.5 (0.7 under)
9.8
Pinnacle
-175
5.0✅ Win9.5

How these picks are chosen

The 10 strongest morning edges from the model, one per player, real sportsbooks only (no PrizePicks). Each pick is graded the next morning at the line and price available when posted, losses included.

These are the top 10.

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